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VIXCaster

Volatility Forecast
🌊
State
β€”
Bias
β€”
Risk Level
β€”
Term Structure
β€”
Calm ≀17 Caution 17-25 Turbulence >25

BuffCaster

Buffett Indicator
🎩
0% 100% 200% 300%
Zone
β€” β€”%
Market Cap
$β€”
GDP
$β€”
GDPNow
β€”%
Undervalued <90% Fair 90-120% Overvalued 120-180% Fire β‰₯180%

MoodCaster

Market Sentiment
🎭
β€”
β€”
Description
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Liquidity Trust
β€”
Future Confidence
β€”
Risk Tolerance
β€”
Calm Stable Neutral Guarded Strained

CapCaster

FED Capital Reservoir
πŸ’§
β€”
AWAITING
Posture
Awaiting regime context
RRP Usage
$β€”
Level Percentile
β€”%
5-Day Change
β€”%
As of last market close: β€” Flush Stable Draining Exhausted

GEXCaster

Dealer Flow
Ξ£ ↔️
βšͺ
NEUTRAL
Ξ” Directional Flow
β€”
Ξ“ Dealer Exposure
β€”
V Vol Premium
β€”
Θ Expiry Pressure
β€”
As of last market close: β€” Absorbing Neutral Amplifying
πŸ“– LEGEND
πŸ“– LEGEND
🌊 VIXCaster - Volatility Forecast β–Ό

Monitors the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), often called the "fear gauge." Higher values indicate expected market turbulence.

Gauge Current VIX level (0-80 scale). The needle and arc show real-time fear/greed positioning.
State Market volatility regime: Calm, Elevated, or Turbulent.
Bias Directional tendency β€” whether volatility is rising, falling, or stable.
Risk Level Categorized risk exposure based on VIX percentile vs historical norms.
Term Structure Contango = normal (future vol priced higher). Backwardation = inverted, signals near-term fear spike.
≀17 Calm 17-25 Caution >25 Turbulence
🎩 BuffCaster - Buffett Indicator β–Ό

Warren Buffett's favorite valuation metric: Total Market Cap Γ· GDP. Measures if stocks are cheap or expensive relative to the economy.

Gauge Ratio percentage (0-300%+). Shows how large the stock market is vs. total economic output.
Zone Valuation regime based on historical ranges.
Market Cap Total value of all US publicly traded stocks (Wilshire 5000).
GDP US Gross Domestic Product β€” total economic output.
GDPNow Atlanta Fed's real-time GDP growth estimate for current quarter.
<90% Under 90-120% Fair 120-180% Over β‰₯180% πŸ”₯Fire
🎭 MoodCaster - Market Sentiment β–Ό

Composite sentiment indicator combining multiple market psychology signals. The wheel visualizes the current emotional state of markets.

Wheel Visual representation of market mood across the spectrum from calm to strained.
Liquidity Trust How freely capital is flowing. High = money moving easily. Low = credit tightening.
Future Confidence Forward-looking sentiment. Are investors betting on growth or hedging for decline?
Risk Tolerance Appetite for speculative assets. High = risk-on behavior. Low = flight to safety.
Calm Stable Neutral Guarded Strained
πŸ’§ CapCaster - FED Capital Reservoir β–Ό

Tracks the Fed's Reverse Repo Facility (RRP) β€” a massive pool of sidelined capital. When money leaves RRP, it often flows into markets.

Tank Visual fill level showing how much capital remains parked at the Fed vs. historical peak.
RRP Usage Dollar amount currently in Reverse Repo (trillions scale).
Level Percentile Current level vs. historical range. 90% = near highs, 10% = near lows.
5-Day Change Recent flow direction. Negative = money leaving RRP (bullish for markets).
Flush Stable Draining Exhausted
Ξ£ ↔️ GEXCaster β€” Dealer Flow β–Ό

Estimates dealer positioning and options market pressure using synthetic Greeks derived from SPX price action, VIX, and the options expiry calendar. When dealers are "short gamma," their hedging activity amplifies market moves. When "long gamma," they dampen moves. This is the hidden force behind why some selloffs accelerate and others get absorbed.

State Dealers Absorbing = long gamma, dampening moves (green). Dealers Neutral = balanced positioning. Dealers Amplifying = short gamma, magnifying moves (red).
Ξ” Directional Flow Which way money is moving and how hard. Derived from SPX daily change adjusted for volatility. Heavy Selling / Sell Pressure / Balanced / Buy Pressure / Heavy Buying.
Ξ“ Dealer Exposure Are moves getting bigger or smaller? Compares today's price move to yesterday's. Amplifying Moves = each day is worse than the last (accelerating). Stable Positioning = moves are consistent. Dampening Moves = pressure is fading.
V Vol Premium The VIX level β€” what the options market is charging for protection. This IS implied volatility (vega). Compressed (<15) = calm. Low (15-20) = normal. Moderate (20-25) = cautious. Elevated (25-30) = fear. Extreme (>30) = panic.
Θ Expiry Pressure Distance to next monthly options expiration (OPEX). As OPEX approaches, dealers must rebalance positions, which can amplify moves. Quad Witching (March, June, Sep, Dec) is the biggest event β€” index options, index futures, and single-stock options all expire simultaneously, forcing massive dealer repositioning.
Absorbing Neutral Amplifying
πŸ“Š DNS Bar - Market Indices β–Ό

Quick-glance view of major market indices via their ETF proxies (DIA, QQQ, SPY).

DOW Dow Jones Industrial Average (via DIA ETF) β€” 30 blue-chip stocks.
NASDAQ NASDAQ-100 (via QQQ ETF) β€” top 100 non-financial NASDAQ stocks, tech-heavy.
S&P S&P 500 (via SPY ETF) β€” 500 largest US companies, broadest market proxy.
Green = Up Red = Down Yellow = Flat White = Closed

β“˜ Data derived from ETF proxies. Values may differ slightly from actual index.

πŸ• Market Clock & Phases β–Ό

Displays current Eastern Time and market session phase. Moon icon reflects market state, not astronomy.

PRE Pre-market session (4:00 AM – 9:30 AM ET). Lower volume, wider spreads.
OPEN Regular trading hours (9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET). Full liquidity.
AFTER After-hours session (4:00 PM – 8:00 PM ET). Earnings reactions common.
NIGHT Overnight (8:00 PM – 4:00 AM ET). US markets closed, futures active.
CLOSED Weekend or holiday. No US equity trading.
πŸŒ’ Pre πŸŒ• Open πŸŒ“ After 🌘 Night πŸŒ‘ Closed
V C G B M
PRICE IS THE HEADLINE
Structure sets the context Β· VIXCaster
Participation is the vote Β· BuffCaster
Response is the verdict Β· MoodCaster
Pressure is the consequence Β· CapCaster
Dealer Flow is the undercurrent Β· GEXCaster
β€”
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